How much new AI-funded philanthropy is coming?
This forecast models only the new philanthropic capital created by AI wealth — not existing giving. It sizes four AI-derived sources (the OpenAI Foundation, Anthropic founders, Anthropic employee DAFs, and Good Ventures' Anthropic stake) and projects how fast they reach the field. Change the assumptions on the left; the biggest unknown is Anthropic's valuation. Toggle “Layer on existing foundation + DAF giving” to see the AI wave stacked on today's institutional baseline — the same concentration story that pushes major funders toward a third of all U.S. giving by 2030.
Illustrative model, not a prediction. Default assumptions are seeded from Nan Ransohoff's essay on the new wave of AI philanthropy (OpenAI Foundation ~$220B, Anthropic founders ~$90B, employee donor-advised funds ~$60B), plus Good Ventures' ~1% Anthropic stake. Every input is yours to change — the numbers are only as good as the assumptions you choose.
Where does this money land? Nearly all of it flows through foundations and DAFs — Intermediaries covers how fast those vehicles actually pay out, and Effectiveness asks what the dollars accomplish once they arrive. For the full landscape, start at the Overview.